NoGuru Trading Academy · 22 lessons across 5 modules
This academy teaches the arithmetic of surviving — and shows why it beats 20× gambling over time. Every lesson starts free; the full versions are included with any paid subscription — no separate purchase, no accounts, no passwords.
Try the arithmetic yourself
The drawdown/recovery calculator behind lesson 1.1 — free, no gate, shareable.
Lose 30% and you need 43% back. The one chart every trading rule on this site is built around.
At 20x, a routine daily move is your whole margin. Liquidation distance vs what crypto does on a normal day.
A 40%-win system can beat a 70%-win one. The arithmetic that makes it true.
Steady-small beats boom-bust because the bust visits the vertical part of the recovery curve.
Position size, not entry quality, is what kills accounts. The fixed-fraction rule and the arithmetic behind it.
Five open positions at 2% each is 10% at risk before correlation even enters.
In crypto stress, correlations go to one. Diversification you can actually get, and the kind you only think you have.
Reducing size costs nothing and fixes almost everything. The triggers that should force it.
The coin, a dated contract, or a contract that never expires — three very different things behind one price chart.
Isolated caps one position's damage at its own margin. Cross lets one bad trade drain everything.
Every 8 hours, one side of the perp market pays the other. That payment is a crowding gauge.
Price up on rising OI is new money; price up on falling OI is shorts leaving. Same candle, different story.
Forced sellers create forced sellers. Crypto's sharpest moves are mechanical, not informational.
Thin weekend books make small moves. Most come back — but so does any move that size.
The same chart is a downtrend on 1h and an uptrend on 1w. Neither is lying — pick a home timeframe and stay.
Strategies are trend tools or range tools. Using one in the other's market is the most common systematic mistake.
Decisions cluster in areas, not at ticks. Trading exact lines manufactures false precision.
TA cannot predict. What it can do is still worth learning — an unusually honest accounting.
One fixed system, wildly different 10-trade stretches, by luck alone. Judging anything on 10 trades is astrology.
You cannot review decisions you didn't record. Seven fields, written before the outcome is known.
The first real loss is the system working as designed — but it feels like proof of failure. Expect the feeling.
Every real system has losing months. Following someone else's adds one specific temptation: overriding it at the bottom.